Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: Preview, Predictions and Picks for May 5, 2024 2:10 PM

Published on:
May 5, 2024 6:16 AM
The Seattle Mariners, boasting a respectable 18-15 overall record, travel to Minute Maid Park to face the struggling Houston Astros, who are 12-21 on the season and 7-11 at home. With the series tied 1-1, the Mariners will look to capitalize on the Astros' home woes on a warm, sunny day with temperatures expected to reach 81 degrees and no chance of precipitation. The rubber match gets underway on May 5, 2024, at 2:10 PM.
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Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros

Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Probable Pitchers

Bryce Miller, the probable starting pitcher for the Seattle Mariners, brings a strong ERA of 2.04 and WHIP of 0.88 into the upcoming game against the Houston Astros. With 39 strikeouts and only 12 walks in 35 full innings pitched, Miller is poised to give the Mariners a solid chance at taking down the Astros in their upcoming matchup.

In the upcoming matchup against the Seattle Mariners, the Houston Astros are expected to start Hunter Brown, a pitcher who has struggled so far this season with a 9.78 ERA and 2.22 WHIP. Despite his 24 strikeouts, Brown's 4 losses and 5 home runs allowed hint at a potentially vulnerable outing against the Mariners' potent offense.

Seattle Mariners Analysis

As the Seattle Mariners gear up to face the Houston Astros, they'll need to overcome their struggling offense to have a chance at taking down the reigning American League Champions. With a team batting average of just .221, the Mariners have struggled to consistently produce at the plate, ranking 26th in the league in this category. Meanwhile, their lack of power has been evident, with only 35 home runs on the season, tied for 11th worst in the majors. If they hope to keep pace with the Astros' potent offense, the Mariners will need Julio Rodriguez to continue his strong season, as his .269 average leads the team. Cal Raleigh will also be crucial, as his 7 home runs lead the Mariners and will be necessary to keep up with the Astros' firepower.

Houston Astros Analysis

As the Seattle Mariners prepare to take on the Houston Astros, they'll need to be prepared to face a well-rounded offense. The Astros boast a potent attack, ranking 3rd in hits and 8th in home runs, with Kyle Tucker leading the charge with 8 homers and 21 RBIs. Jose Altuve's .338 batting average is a threat at the top of the order, and the team's ability to get on base consistently (5th in LOB) sets them up for scoring opportunities. Meanwhile, the Mariners' pitching staff will need to be mindful of the Astros' aggressive approach, as they rank 30th in strikeouts and 27th in pitches faced, indicating a willingness to swing early in counts. With Hunter Brown taking the mound for the Astros, the Mariners will need to be sharp to capitalize on any scoring chances.

Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Injuries

Houston Astros

  • Forrest Whitley (RP): Day-To-Day
  • Zach Dezenzo (3B): Day-To-Day
  • Jairo Solis (SP): Day-To-Day
  • Jayden Murray (SP): Day-To-Day
  • Dixon Machado (SS): Day-To-Day

Seattle Mariners

  • Bryan Woo (SP): 15-Day-IL
  • George Kirby (SP): Day-To-Day
  • Eduard Bazardo (RP): 15-Day-IL
  • J.P. Crawford (SS): 10-Day-IL
  • Gregory Santos (RP): 60-Day-IL

Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Betting Odds

The Houston Astros are favored to win, currently listed at -125, which is where they opened, implying a slight edge over the Seattle Mariners. The total runs are expected to be around 8.5, according to the current Over/Under.

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Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Prediction

I'm predicting a 6-4 Houston Astros victory, because let's be real, the Mariners' batting lineup is about as reliable as a baseball player's haircut – it's gonna have some ups and downs, but ultimately it's gonna come up short.

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MLB Game Picks for Mariners vs Astros

SEA @ HOU Under 8.5 +107
  • Grade: B+
  • Expected Value: +1.0%
  • Odds to Hit: 48.6%
  • Bet Units: 0.2
  • Fair Odds: +106
  • Market Width: 12

MLB Player Prop Picks for Mariners vs Astros

Jon Singleton (HOU) Over 0.5 Hits -120
  • Grade: B
  • Expected Value: +1.0%
  • Odds to Hit: 54.8%
  • Bet Units: 0.2
  • Fair Odds: -121
  • Market Width: 42
Hunter Brown (HOU) Under 3.5 Hits Allowed +120
  • Grade: B
  • Expected Value: +1.0%
  • Odds to Hit: 47.6%
  • Bet Units: 1.0
  • Fair Odds: +110
  • Market Width: 43
Jose Altuve (2B) - HOU Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + Rbis -119
  • They're projected for 2.2 H+R+R.
  • In games they had at least 2 at bats:
  • • Season 66.7% (22-11) (impl -200)
  • • Last 25 68.0% (17-8) (impl -213)
  • • Last 20 70.0% (14-6) (impl -233)
  • • Last 15 66.7% (10-5) (impl -200)
  • • Last 10 80.0% (8-2) (impl -400)
  • • Last 5 80.0% (4-1) (impl -400)
  • • Last 3 66.7% (2-1) (impl -200)

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros Betting Odds

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