San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: Preview, Predictions and Picks for May 5, 2024 4:10 PM

Published on:
May 5, 2024 6:23 AM
The Arizona Diamondbacks look to bounce back at Chase Field on May 5, 2024, as they face the San Diego Padres at 4:10 PM. The Padres currently lead the series 2-0, and with a 10-6 road record, they'll aim to build on their momentum. The Diamondbacks, however, will rely on their 8-10 home record to get back on track in front of their home crowd.
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San Diego Padres
Arizona Diamondbacks

San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Probable Pitchers

In the upcoming San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks matchup, the probable starting pitcher for the Padres is Matt Waldron, who brings a 4.35 ERA and 1.35 WHIP to the mound. With 27 strikeouts and 10 walks in 31 full innings pitched, Waldron will look to improve on his 1-3 record and provide a strong outing for the Padres.

Ryne Nelson, the probable starting pitcher for the Arizona Diamondbacks, will look to build on his 1-2 record and 4.60 ERA as he takes the mound against the San Diego Padres. Despite allowing 19 hits and 5 walks in 17.2 innings pitched, Nelson's 13 strikeouts suggest he has the potential to dominate on the hill.

San Diego Padres Analysis

As the San Diego Padres gear up to face the Arizona Diamondbacks, they'll lean on their potent offense to drive their success. With a team batting average of .258, the Padres boast one of the league's most formidable lineups, featuring standouts like Jurickson Profar, who's hitting a scorching .347, and Fernando Tatis Jr., who leads the team with 7 home runs. With 315 hits and 183 runs scored, the Padres are poised to put pressure on the Diamondbacks' pitching staff. Meanwhile, Jake Cronenworth's 25 RBIs should give the Padres a significant advantage in run production. If starter Matt Waldron can contain the Diamondbacks' offense, the Padres' high-octane offense should give them a strong chance to come out on top.

Arizona Diamondbacks Analysis

As the Arizona Diamondbacks prepare to face off against the San Diego Padres, their offense will look to capitalize on a strong season of getting on base, boasting a top-5 walk rate and a respectable .245 batting average. Led by Ketel Marte's impressive .308 average, the D-Backs will rely on their ability to manufacture runs, with 153 runs scored by batters this season, good for 8th in the league. Christian Walker's 7 home runs and 22 RBIs will also be crucial in providing a spark for the offense. However, the team's 251 strikeouts, tied for 27th in the league, could prove to be a Achilles' heel against the Padres' talented pitching staff. Ryne Nelson will take the mound for the D-Backs, and he'll need to be sharp to contain the Padres' potent offense.

San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Injuries

Arizona Diamondbacks

  • Ryne Nelson (SP): 15-Day-IL
  • Alek Thomas (CF): 10-Day-IL
  • Paul Sewald (RP): 15-Day-IL
  • Jorge Barrosa (LF): Day-To-Day
  • Jose Castillo (RP): Day-To-Day

San Diego Padres

  • Justin Lopez (SS): Day-To-Day
  • Glenn Otto (RP): 15-Day-IL
  • Noel Vela (SP): Day-To-Day
  • Tucupita Marcano (SS): 10-Day-IL
  • Drew Carlton (RP): Day-To-Day

San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Odds

The Arizona Diamondbacks are currently favored to win, with odds of -115, a slight adjustment from the opening line of -120, while the over/under for total runs scored is set at 9.5. With the D-Backs narrowly favored, this matchup is shaping up to be a closely contested affair.

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San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

I'm calling it: the Diamondbacks will edge out the Padres 5-4 in a thrilling late-inning showdown, because who doesn't love a little Arizona sunshine in their lives?

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MLB Player Prop Picks for Padres vs Diamondbacks

Eugenio Suarez (ARI) Over 1.5 Total Bases +160
  • Grade: B
  • Expected Value: +1.0%
  • Odds to Hit: 40.0%
  • Bet Units: 0.6
  • Fair Odds: +150
  • Market Width: 59
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) Over 1.5 Total Bases +160
  • Grade: B
  • Expected Value: +1.0%
  • Odds to Hit: 40.0%
  • Bet Units: 0.6
  • Fair Odds: +150
  • Market Width: 59
Jurickson Profar (OF) - SD Over 0.5 Singles -110
  • They're projected for 0.7 1B.
  • In games they had at least 2 at bats:
  • • Season 61.8% (21-13) (impl -162)
  • • Last 25 68.0% (17-8) (impl -213)
  • • Last 20 75.0% (15-5) (impl -300)
  • • Last 15 73.3% (11-4) (impl -275)
  • • Last 10 80.0% (8-2) (impl -400)
  • • Last 5 60.0% (3-2) (impl -150)
  • • Last 3 66.7% (2-1) (impl -200)

San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Odds

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