Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins: Preview, Predictions and Picks for May 11, 2024

Published on:
May 11, 2024 7:39 AM
The Philadelphia Phillies, riding a dominant 27-12 overall record and 12-5 road record, look to build on their series lead as they take on the struggling Miami Marlins, who own a dismal 10-30 overall mark and 5-16 home record, on Saturday, May 11 at 4:10 PM at loanDepot park. The Phillies aim to capitalize on their momentum and extend their series lead to 2-0. Expect a thrilling matchup as these two teams clash in South Florida.
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Philadelphia Phillies
Miami Marlins

Phillies vs Marlins starting pitchers

In the upcoming matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Miami Marlins, Taijuan Walker is set to take the mound for the Phillies. Walker has posted early season statistics with an ERA of 6.39 over 12 full innings and an additional 2 part-innings, demonstrating some challenges in maintaining run control, evidenced by 11 strikeouts against 3 home runs. On the opposing side, the Marlins will counter with Jesus Luzardo, who offers a slightly better performance with an ERA close to Walker's but boasts a higher strikeout rate of over 6 per game, hinting at his ability to handle pressure situations by dismissing batters. This pitching duel sets the stage for an intriguing contest, with both pitchers aiming to tighten their control and deepen their innings to help their teams secure a win.

Phillies vs Marlins game preview

The Philadelphia Phillies enter their upcoming game against the Miami Marlins with strong offensive momentum, boasting impressive rankings in several key statistical categories. Their performance at the plate has them positioned among the league leaders, with a solid 4th-place in both runs scored and total hits, accumulating 199 and 344 respectively. Additionally, the team's strategy on bases is proving effective, evidenced by their 5th-ranked stolen bases tally of 43. However, the Phillies will feel the absence of Trea Turner, who is currently on the 10-day IL with a hamstring strain, especially since he leads the team with a .343 batting average. The depth in their lineup, highlighted by Bryce Harper's 9 home runs and Alec Bohm's 32 RBIs, will be crucial as they aim to exploit the Marlins' pitching weaknesses.

On the other side, the Miami Marlins face a challenging task with comparatively weaker offensive statistics this season. Positioned at the lower end of the league in several important metrics including runs scored, hits, and batting average, the Marlins are currently ranked 23rd, 21st, and 25th in these categories respectively. A critical factor contributing to their struggles at the plate is their league-lowest walks, with only 94 bases on balls, impacting their ability to create scoring opportunities. Bryan De La Cruz has been a standout player for Miami, leading the team with a .270 batting average, 8 home runs, and 21 RBIs. Miami will need him to spark their offense if they hope to keep pace with the high-scoring Phillies in the imminent matchup.

Miami Marlins injuries

  • A.J. Puk (SP): 15-Day-IL
  • Jesus Luzardo (SP): 15-Day-IL
  • Kemp Alderman (RF): Day-To-Day
  • Bryan Hoeing (RP): 15-Day-IL
  • JT Chargois (RP): 15-Day-IL

Philadelphia Phillies injuries

  • Luis Ortiz (RP): 15-Day-IL
  • Dylan Covey (RP): 15-Day-IL
  • Rafael Marchan (C): 10-Day-IL
  • Michael Rucker (RP): 15-Day-IL
  • Yunior Marte (RP): 15-Day-IL

Phillies vs Marlins predictions

Here we go, folks! The Phils are coming off a big win in game one, and I'm thinking they're gonna keep the momentum going tonight. I'm looking at Alec Bohm to have a big game - three hits, two RBIs, and a run scored. Nick Castellanos is due for a power surge, so I'm predicting a homer and two RBIs. And don't even get me started on Bryce Harper - this guy's a superstar, and I think he'll go yard, drive in two, and score twice. The Phillies' bats are gonna be on fire tonight.

Now, on the other side, the Marlins are gonna try to even up the series, but I'm not buying it. I think Bryan De La Cruz has a solid game with two hits and a run scored, but that's about it. Jazz Chisholm might get a hit and a stolen base, but he's gonna strike out twice. And as for Jesus Sanchez, I think he'll leave a bunch of guys on base - two hits, but no RBIs. The Marlins' offense just doesn't scare me, and I think their pitching staff is in for a long night.

So, when the dust settles, I think the Phillies are gonna take this one 7-4. Taijuan Walker's gonna have a quality start, and the Phils' bullpen will shut the door in the late innings. The Marlins just can't keep up with the Phils' firepower, and I think they'll drop their 31st game of the season. Book it.

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