Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: Preview, Predictions and Picks for May 4, 2024 2:10 PM

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May 4, 2024 6:11 AM

The Minnesota Twins, boasting a 7-6 home record, look to capitalize on their series lead as they host the Boston Red Sox at Target Field on May 4th at 2:10 PM. The Red Sox, with an impressive 11-6 road record, will aim to even the series amidst a pleasant 70-degree day with a slight chance of precipitation. The Twins currently lead the series 1-0, having taken the first game.

Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins Probable Pitchers

For the upcoming Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins game, Brennan Bernardino is likely to take the mound for the Red Sox, bringing his impressive 0.73 ERA and 0.81 WHIP to try and silence the Twins' bats. With 11 strikeouts and only 4 hits allowed in his 12.1 innings of work, Bernardino looks to build on his solid start to the season against the Twins.

The probable starting pitcher for the Minnesota Twins, Pablo Lopez, will look to bounce back from a mediocre start to the season, sporting a 4.83 ERA and 1.04 WHIP, as he takes the mound against the Boston Red Sox. Despite some struggles, Lopez has shown flashes of brilliance, racking up 37 strikeouts in just 33 innings of work, and will aim to harness that potential to shut down the Red Sox's potent offense.

Boston Red Sox Analysis

As the Boston Red Sox gear up to face the Minnesota Twins, a few key trends emerge from their recent statistics. The Red Sox offense, led by Jarren Duran's .261 batting average, has shown promise, but their propensity for striking out (tied for 2nd in the league with 314 K's) could be exploited by the Twins' pitching staff. Meanwhile, Tyler O'Neill's 9 home runs and Ceddanne Rafaela's 17 RBIs suggest that the Sox have some pop in their lineup. However, their struggles on the basepaths (9th in stolen bases with 28) and tendency to leave runners on base (tied for 10th with 150) could limit their scoring opportunities. With Brennan Bernardino set to take the mound, the Red Sox will need to find ways to capitalize on their scoring chances and overcome their weaknesses if they hope to come out on top against the Twins.

Minnesota Twins Analysis

As the Boston Red Sox prepare to take on the Minnesota Twins, they'll need to be aware of the Twins' potent offense, led by Ryan Jeffers' .298 batting average and Edouard Julien's 7 home runs. Despite ranking 15th in runs scored with 143, the Twins have shown flashes of power, with 32 extra-base hits, and have been able to manufacture runs with 99 walks and 15 stolen bases. Meanwhile, Pablo Lopez will take the mound for the Twins, looking to contain a Red Sox lineup that's likely to be aggressive, given the Twins' 19th-ranked 4519 pitches faced. If the Red Sox can capitalize on the Twins' 279 strikeouts, they may be able to silence the Minnesota bats and come out on top.

Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins Injuries

Minnesota Twins

Justin Topa (RP): 15-Day-IL
Byron Chourio (CF): Day-To-Day
Yohander Martinez (SS): Day-To-Day
Jeff Brigham (RP): Day-To-Day
Aaron Sabato (1B): Day-To-Day

Boston Red Sox

Roberto Perez (C): Day-To-Day
Andrew Politi (RP): Day-To-Day
Mikey Romero (SS): Day-To-Day
Isaiah Campbell (RP): 15-Day-IL
Tyler Heineman (C): 10-Day-IL

How to Watch the Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins

The Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins game will be televised on NESN and is scheduled for Sat 2:10 PM.

Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins Betting Odds

The Minnesota Twins are currently favored to win, with odds sitting at -170, a slight decrease from the opening odds of -185. The Over/Under total remains unchanged at 0.0, indicating no clear consensus on the total runs scored in the game.

You can find real-time odds here powered by the Optimal app.

Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

I'm predicting a thrilling 6-4 victory for the Minnesota Twins, largely because I have a hunch their bats will be hot enough to counter the Red Sox's pitching prowess - and by hunch, I mean I'm just making an educated guess based on some fancy math and stats.