Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds: Preview, Predictions and Picks for May 3, 2024 6:10 PM

Published on:
May 3, 2024 6:12 AM
On May 3, 2024, the Cincinnati Reds (16-15) will host the Baltimore Orioles (20-11) at Great American Ball Park, where the Reds have a 9-7 home record. The Orioles, boasting an impressive 8-4 road record, look to continue their strong season. With a forecasted temperature of 78 degrees and no precipitation, the stage is set for an exciting matchup at 6:10 PM.
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Baltimore Orioles
Cincinnati Reds

Baltimore Orioles vs Cincinnati Reds Probable Pitchers

For the upcoming matchup against the Cincinnati Reds, the Baltimore Orioles are likely to send Cole Irvin to the mound, who boasts a respectable 3.49 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in his recent outings. With 18 strikeouts and only 7 walks in his last 28 full innings of work, Irvin's control and ability to limit free passes could be key factors in the Orioles' chances of coming out on top.

For the upcoming Baltimore Orioles vs Cincinnati Reds game, probable starter Hunter Greene is looking to build on his impressive 42 strikeouts and 1.10 WHIP, hoping to secure his second win of the season. Despite his 3.63 ERA, Greene's ability to limit walks and home runs could spell trouble for the Orioles' offense.


Baltimore Orioles Analysis

As the Baltimore Orioles prepare to face off against the Cincinnati Reds, it's clear that their strength lies in their ability to score runs, with a 2nd-ranked 164 runs scored and a 1st-ranked 48 home runs. Adley Rutschman's impressive .310 batting average will be crucial in sparking the Orioles' offense, while Gunnar Henderson's 10 home runs and 24 RBIs make him a threat in the middle of the lineup. However, the Orioles will need to overcome their strikeout woes, ranking 19th in the league with 256 strikeouts, and improve their patience at the plate, as they rank 30th in walks with 78. If they can minimize their strikeouts and work counts to get on base, the Orioles' offense has the potential to explode against the Reds.


Cincinnati Reds Analysis

As the Baltimore Orioles prepare to face the Cincinnati Reds, they'll need to be cautious of the Reds' aggressive base running, which has earned them the top spot in stolen bases with 55. With Elly De La Cruz leading the charge with a .280 batting average and 8 home runs, the Orioles' pitching staff will need to keep him in check. However, the Reds' offense as a whole has struggled to get on base consistently, ranking 28th in batting average (.218) and 14th in runs scored (139). If the Orioles can contain De La Cruz and limit the Reds' opportunities on the basepaths, they may be able to capitalize on Cincinnati's struggles at the plate and come out on top.


Baltimore Orioles vs Cincinnati Reds Injuries

Cincinnati Reds

  • Justin Wilson (RP): Day-To-Day
  • Tyler Stephenson (C): Day-To-Day
  • Christian Encarnacion-Strand (1B): Day-To-Day
  • Frankie Montas (SP): 15-Day-IL
  • TJ Friedl (CF): 10-Day-IL

Baltimore Orioles

  • Craig Kimbrel (RP): Day-To-Day
  • Zach Peek (SP): Day-To-Day
  • Luis Almeyda (SS): Out
  • Terrin Vavra (RF): Day-To-Day
  • Max Wagner (3B): Day-To-Day

Baltimore Orioles vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Odds

The Baltimore Orioles are currently favored to win, with odds of -120, after opening as slight underdogs with the Cincinnati Reds listed at -110. The Over/Under for the game is set at 9.5 runs.

You can find real-time odds here powered by the Optimal app.


Baltimore Orioles vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction

I'm calling it: Orioles win in a nail-biter, 5-4, because who doesn't love a good dose of stress-induced heartburn on a lovely summer evening?


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MLB Game Picks for Orioles vs Reds

BAL @ CIN Over 9.0 -114
  • Grade: B+
  • Expected Value: +1.0%
  • Odds to Hit: 53.5%
  • Bet Units: 0.1
  • Fair Odds: -115
  • Market Width: 13

MLB Player Prop Picks for Orioles vs Reds

Hunter Greene (CIN) Over 7.5 Strikeouts Thrown +138
  • Grade: B
  • Expected Value: +1.0%
  • Odds to Hit: 42.9%
  • Bet Units: 0.4
  • Fair Odds: +133
  • Market Width: 46
Elly De La Cruz (CIN) Under 0.5 Hits +180
  • Grade: B
  • Expected Value: +1.0%
  • Odds to Hit: 36.1%
  • Bet Units: 0.1
  • Fair Odds: +177
  • Market Width: 70
Jordan Westburg (2B/3B) - BAL Over 0.5 Hits -190
  • They're projected for 1.0 HIT.
  • In games they had at least 2 at bats:
  • • Season 75.9% (22-7) (impl -314)
  • • Last 25 76.0% (19-6) (impl -317)
  • • Last 20 85.0% (17-3) (impl -567)
  • • Last 15 86.7% (13-2) (impl -650)
  • • Last 10 80.0% (8-2) (impl -400)
  • • Last 5 100.0% (5-0)
  • • Last 3 100.0% (3-0)

Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds Betting Odds

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