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Betting Model Explanations EV

Optimal employs a variety of betting models to help find you +EV. Models range from super simple to AI-powered. Below see some quick explanations of each model.
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Optimal Staff

Optimal employs a variety of betting models to help find you +EV. Models range from super simple to AI-powered. Below see some quick explanations of each model.

Green Flamingo - Optimal's premier model. We use a proprietary blend of books based on Optimal's learnings across 100s of thousands of bets to find you edge. Read More

Smart Money - the Smart Money model strategically identifies bets where the most informed and experienced bettors are concentrating their wagers. Read More

Sharp Books - model finds the book that has the tightest market and uses that to find other mispriced opportunities across the ecosystem. Read More

Outlier Hunter - also known as “Vs Books”. The "Outlier Hunter" model in sports betting identifies high-value bets by comparing lines at various sportsbooks to their average, highlighting significant deviations as potential profitable opportunities. Read More

VS Pinnacle - also known as The Pinnacle Model involves comparing the betting lines offered by Pinnacle Sportsbook, known for its accurate reflection of true outcome probabilities, with lines of other sportsbooks to identify value bets. Read More

Momentum - the Momentum model also known as "Trends and Projections" in sports betting forecasts successful bets by comparing a player's recent performance over this season against current betting lines, using statistical analysis to identify bets with high positive expected value. Read More

Pick’em Edge - Optimal’s Pick’em edge model integrates the new fantasy pick’em apps like underdog, prizepicks and parlayplay to search for outlier opportunities. 

Game Sim - model utilizes advanced artificial intelligence to simulate sporting events in detail, providing highly accurate predictions for bettors by analyzing a multitude of factors, including team composition, player form, and environmental conditions.

Arbitrage - model that involves placing bets on all possible outcomes of an event at different bookmakers to guarantee a profit regardless of the event's outcome.

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The Optimal Guide to Profitable Sports Betting

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